Philippines’ growth, real or imagined?
THE Philippine economy is growing and will continue to grow for as long as President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, a Georgetown-educated economist, is in charge.
So goes the line that the Arroyo administration has been pushing and which it hopes will result in a resounding victory for her party in the coming May elections.
Mrs. Arroyo herself is not a candidate, but the general consensus is that the senatorial elections will be a gauge of her popularity, or lack thereof.
A win by the majority of her candidates means that the people are silently supporting her policies which are aimed at continued growth of the economy.
For the most part, there are indications that our homeland’s economy is no longer in bad shape.
The Filipino American community, which has kept its ties with the motherland, shares some of the responsibility through the huge volume of remittances sent back home month after month, year after year.
Now comes an Asian Development Bank report that says the claims of Mrs.
Arroyo may be lacking a solid foundation.
The report released late last month says that the Philippines is not even keeping up with the growth in the region.
Worst of all, the expansion of the country’s gross national product will not translate into increased employment.
The Philippine population continues to grow at a steady clip creating a work force that still will not be 100 percent employed anytime in the near future.
The ADB report paints a less-than-bright scenario for the Philippines.
Last year, the region grew by 8.3 percent, the healthiest in more than a decade.
The Philippines’ growth was far, far less. Close to three percentage points less, in fact.
Simply put, the country is still falling behind its neighbors.
The country is still an economic laggard.
The country may as well retain its old title of Sick Man of Asia.
An exaggeration? Not really.This year, the Asian economies are projected to grow by 7.6 percent on the average.
Next year, the growth will be 7.7 percent.Closer to home, the Southeast Asian economies might not grow as much as the rest of Asia, but such countries as Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam are still expected to outpace the Philippines.
The ADB projects Southeast Asia’s economies to grow by 5.6 percent and 5.9 percent, this year and next, respectively.
The Philippines, on the other hand, will only expand by 5.4 percent and 5.8 percent this year and next.
The Arroyo administration’s biggest mistake is taking the country’s growth out of context.
Since all the economies of the world are inter-connected and inter-related – with the only exceptions being North Korea and to a lesser extent Cuba – there are always winners and losers where growth is concerned.
Countries which fall behind will see their citizens’ quality of life depreciate, while those which do well will naturally appreciate.
So where does the Philippines under GMA stand?Pardon this awful joke, but only as high as her own short physical stature. Growth will be stunted vis-à-vis Asia and Southeast Asia.
If the president of the Philippines wants to claim that she is handling the economy well, she must begin by doing her homework.
Surely the lessons she learned in Georgetown University remain valid.
She must lead the country to a period of sustained high economic growth, reducing unemployment to as close to nil as possible, and eradicating poverty at all cost.
A tall order perhaps, but one that Mrs. Arroyo must be committed to achieving if her presidency is to mean anything in the country’s history.
The Filipino people can forgive her many flaws, but they cannot and should not forgive the lie she is peddling that the Philippine economy is in great shape.
So goes the line that the Arroyo administration has been pushing and which it hopes will result in a resounding victory for her party in the coming May elections.
Mrs. Arroyo herself is not a candidate, but the general consensus is that the senatorial elections will be a gauge of her popularity, or lack thereof.
A win by the majority of her candidates means that the people are silently supporting her policies which are aimed at continued growth of the economy.
For the most part, there are indications that our homeland’s economy is no longer in bad shape.
The Filipino American community, which has kept its ties with the motherland, shares some of the responsibility through the huge volume of remittances sent back home month after month, year after year.
Now comes an Asian Development Bank report that says the claims of Mrs.
Arroyo may be lacking a solid foundation.
The report released late last month says that the Philippines is not even keeping up with the growth in the region.
Worst of all, the expansion of the country’s gross national product will not translate into increased employment.
The Philippine population continues to grow at a steady clip creating a work force that still will not be 100 percent employed anytime in the near future.
The ADB report paints a less-than-bright scenario for the Philippines.
Last year, the region grew by 8.3 percent, the healthiest in more than a decade.
The Philippines’ growth was far, far less. Close to three percentage points less, in fact.
Simply put, the country is still falling behind its neighbors.
The country is still an economic laggard.
The country may as well retain its old title of Sick Man of Asia.
An exaggeration? Not really.This year, the Asian economies are projected to grow by 7.6 percent on the average.
Next year, the growth will be 7.7 percent.Closer to home, the Southeast Asian economies might not grow as much as the rest of Asia, but such countries as Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam are still expected to outpace the Philippines.
The ADB projects Southeast Asia’s economies to grow by 5.6 percent and 5.9 percent, this year and next, respectively.
The Philippines, on the other hand, will only expand by 5.4 percent and 5.8 percent this year and next.
The Arroyo administration’s biggest mistake is taking the country’s growth out of context.
Since all the economies of the world are inter-connected and inter-related – with the only exceptions being North Korea and to a lesser extent Cuba – there are always winners and losers where growth is concerned.
Countries which fall behind will see their citizens’ quality of life depreciate, while those which do well will naturally appreciate.
So where does the Philippines under GMA stand?Pardon this awful joke, but only as high as her own short physical stature. Growth will be stunted vis-à-vis Asia and Southeast Asia.
If the president of the Philippines wants to claim that she is handling the economy well, she must begin by doing her homework.
Surely the lessons she learned in Georgetown University remain valid.
She must lead the country to a period of sustained high economic growth, reducing unemployment to as close to nil as possible, and eradicating poverty at all cost.
A tall order perhaps, but one that Mrs. Arroyo must be committed to achieving if her presidency is to mean anything in the country’s history.
The Filipino people can forgive her many flaws, but they cannot and should not forgive the lie she is peddling that the Philippine economy is in great shape.

